Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.000175 0.000194 0.000215 0.000238 0.000265 0.000294 0.000329
2025-04-27 0.000143 0.000171 0.000203 0.000245 0.000296 0.000357 0.000437
2025-05-04 0.000120 0.000152 0.000191 0.000244 0.000314 0.000404 0.000531
2025-05-11 0.000106 0.000139 0.000184 0.000246 0.000334 0.000454 0.000634
2025-05-18 0.000094 0.000128 0.000175 0.000244 0.000347 0.000494 0.000727
2025-05-25 0.000084 0.000119 0.000167 0.000243 0.000358 0.000532 0.000823
2025-06-01 0.000076 0.000110 0.000160 0.000239 0.000366 0.000565 0.000914
2025-06-08 0.000068 0.000101 0.000150 0.000231 0.000364 0.000582 0.000980
2025-06-15 0.000064 0.000097 0.000148 0.000234 0.000381 0.000631 0.001107
2025-06-22 0.000060 0.000094 0.000147 0.000239 0.000401 0.000687 0.001257
2025-06-29 0.000055 0.000088 0.000140 0.000234 0.000403 0.000712 0.001349
2025-07-06 0.000050 0.000081 0.000131 0.000223 0.000395 0.000715 0.001400
2025-07-13 0.000047 0.000077 0.000129 0.000224 0.000408 0.000765 0.001559
2025-07-20 0.000045 0.000075 0.000128 0.000229 0.000430 0.000834 0.001775
2025-07-27 0.000042 0.000072 0.000124 0.000228 0.000440 0.000880 0.001949
2025-08-03 0.000040 0.000069 0.000122 0.000230 0.000456 0.000943 0.002175
2025-08-10 0.000037 0.000066 0.000119 0.000228 0.000465 0.000990 0.002369
2025-08-17 0.000035 0.000063 0.000116 0.000227 0.000473 0.001036 0.002574
2025-08-24 0.000033 0.000060 0.000112 0.000224 0.000478 0.001075 0.002767
2025-08-31 0.000031 0.000056 0.000106 0.000216 0.000470 0.001085 0.002880
2025-09-07 0.000029 0.000055 0.000105 0.000219 0.000488 0.001159 0.003196
2025-09-14 0.000028 0.000054 0.000105 0.000223 0.000511 0.001249 0.003584
2025-09-21 0.000027 0.000051 0.000101 0.000218 0.000510 0.001277 0.003782